FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. #Cyclone

FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 

IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS.

MET ANALYSES INDICATE A  FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL  WIND SHEAR, WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. 

GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT 91B WILL TRACK N-NE AS IT STRENGTHENS AND CONSOLIDATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 

MSLP IS  NEAR 1003 MB. 

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

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IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE ABOVE SYSTEM, THE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO BECOMING FAVOURABLE FOR ADVANCE OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, ANDAMAN SEA AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS DURING NEXT 48 HOURS.

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Vineesh V
Assistant Professor of Geography,
Directorate of Education,
Government of Kerala.
https://g.page/vineeshvc